Having jumped miraculously from -18 to -1.3 in July, August’s Dallas Fed plunged back to -6.2 – contracting for the 20th month in a row. The worse than expected headline data came despite a rise in new orders as the number of employees, average workweek, and capex all plunged into contraction. Hope also tumbled from 18.4 to 7.0 with inventories and new orders expected to slow.

Despite the surge in oil prices, the Dallas economy continues to contract…

 

Charts: Bloomberg

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