Two of my best accomplishments over the 10+ years I have been blogging are calling the top of the housing bubble in real time in 2006 ( http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/10/04/253438/-Housing-debate-over-har… ) and in summer 2011 correctly calling for the bottom in winter 2012 ( http://bonddad.blogspot.com/2011/06/housing-tracker-data-house-prices-ma…).