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Trade ,earnings ,teapots and the US dollar

Trade, earnings, teapots and the US dollar Strong domestic growth and on-target core inflation continue to suggest the US economy is in that happy place,  but this week’s US economic data will begin to shape market expectations for Q2. And equally significant will be Fed Chair Powell’s semi-annual monetary policy testimony before the Senate Banking…

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The sky hasn’t fallen just yet

Trade War Escalates, but the sky hasn’t fallen just yet as optimism crept back into the market on reports of fresh bilateral trade negotiations between China and the US coupled with a slightly firmer RMB scrim. “Where there is a will, there is a way”. But when it comes to backroom negotiations, one can only…

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A tenuous and unstable state of affairs

A tenuous and unstable state of affairs The prospects of another round of US tariffs directed at China have resurrected fears that the trade skirmish between Washington and Beijing could escalate with some investors now fearing a full-blown global trade war could be a reality. But the most damning signal is that dialogue between the…

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All is quiet on the western trade war front

All is quiet on the western trade war front For a change,  all is quiet on the western trade war front as the drop in aggressive US tariff posturing and the nonfarm payroll after effects have propelled US equity market to the third consecutive day of substantial gains. While traders sit tight awaiting the next…

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For the USD , it’s all about this week’s CPI.

For the USD, it’s all about this week’s CPI. Markets dismissed the opening salvo of the  US -Sino trade war as dated news. However, after another Goldilocks NFP,  US stock markets traded positively in the green while the US dollar bears begrudgingly came out of hibernation after US  bond market yields knee-jerked lower. The NFP…

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Big Trouble in Big China ?

Big Trouble in Big China? A very typical July 4th with a whole lot of nothing going on due to the US holiday and prices virtually stopped dead in their track once NY took over the trading books from London. But this sense of calm belies the nervous undercurrent of unease as traders continue to…

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Apple pie and Harley Davidson

Apple pie and Harley Davidson US equity markets are slightly higher as Trade worries subsided despite a volley of tweets from President Trump threatening Harley Davidson’s with import taxes on any motorbikes built in Thailand. And the  US dollar reasserted itself as the dollar bulls ran wild in the china shop overnight. While oil prices…

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