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Currency Headwinds Facing Multi-national Companies

Currency Headwinds Facing Multi-national Companies $MON The sharp rise of the USD in Q-1 has set up a scenario in which some multi-national companies could miss already low earnings estimates and see a sell-offs of their shares. Many companies have issued forecasts mentioning “currency headwinds,” but most Wall Street analysts are not updating their estimates […]

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US Fed Stimulus Set Stock Market Up For Significant Correction

US Fed Stimulus Set Stock Market Up For Significant Correction The huge monetary stimulus programs aka QE adopted by world’s central banks have pumped valuations of stocks and real estate, creating the risk of a major correction,  The central banks have pushed interest rates toward Zero, and when you cut the cost of carrying any […]

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The long leading indicators: 1st quarter 2015 update

Back in January I forecast growth throughout 2015 subject to the caveat that I needed to see 4th Quarter GDP (for private residential spending and corporate profits) before extending that forecast definitively through the 4th quarter of this year.

Now that the first quarter of 2015 has passed, let’s update that forecast.  To begin with, we can simply rely on the Conference Board’s Index of Leading Indicators, which are more weighted towards the short term, for the next 6 months.  Here they are:

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S&P 500 Futures Fall, Example Of How A Correction Starts

S&P 500 Futures Fall, Example Of How A Correction Starts $SPY, $AA, $DIA Tuesday, US major market stock index futures brake due South on high volume; participants scratching their heads. The Big Q: What triggered the selling? E-mini futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index expiring in June dove as much as 1.3%, before […]

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