The Impact Of Higher Yields In The US and Emerging Markets

USD/SGD OANDA:USDSGD


In Q3-Q4 2015 emerging markets bottomed out and started to rally as financial conditions tilted towards easing in Japan, Europe, and the US. Emerging markets benefited from low-interest rates and quantitative easing ( QE ) as we can see we have had a stunning rally since that time. Evidence from chart below implies that there is a strong correlation between easing financial conditions in the US VS emerging market performance. From early 2016 that divergence has driven the rally. We can see similar occurrences in 2000, 2004 and 2009

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