Market Roundup
- Stocks end worst quarter in four years on positive note.
- US Senate passes bill to avert government shutdown, sends to House.
- IMF: Softness in global economy to extend into 2016 as developing world drags.
- U.S. dollar share of FX reserves dips in Q2, euros at 13-yr low (IMF).
- U.S. private sector adds 200,000 jobs in September (ADP), forecast- 194k, +186k-previous.
- US Chicago PMI Sep 48.7, forecast- 53, 54.4-prev, lowest since May.
- Canada GDP grows for second straight month after five-month decline (Jul 0.30% v forecast 0.2).
- Brazil’s Congress delays voting on spending bill vetoes.
- Brazil’s budget deficiency narrows, below market expectations: Aug -7.310b, forecast -14.450b, -10.019b-previous.
Looking Ahead – Economic Data (GMT)
- 23:50 Japan Foreign Bond Investment w/e 514.0b-previous
- 23:50 Japan Foreign Invest JP Stock w/e -1420.1b-previous
- 23:50 Japan Tankan Big Mfg Index Q3 forecast-13, 15-previous
- 23:50 Japan Tankan Big Mfg Outlook DI Q3 forecast-10, 16-previous
- 23:50 Japan Tankan Big Non-Mfg Index Q3 forecast-20, 23-previous
- 23:50 Japan Tankan big Non-Mfg outlook DI Q3 forecast- 18, 21-previous
- 23:50 Japan Tankan Small Mfg Index Q3 forecast -2, 0-previous
- 23:50 Japan Tankan Small Mfg Outlook DI Q3 forecast-4, 0-previous
- 23:30 Australia AIG Manufacturing Index Sep 51.7-previous
- 01:00 China NBS Non-Mfg PMI* Sep 53.4-previous
- 01:00 China NBS Manufacturing PMI* Sep forecast- 49.6, 49.7-previous
- 01:45 China Caixin Mfg PMI Final Sep 47-previous
- 01:45 China Caixin Services PMI Sep 51.5-previous
Looking Ahead – Events, Other Releases (GMT)
- No major event scheduled
Currency SummariesEUR/USD is likely to find support at 1.1140 levels and currently trading at 1.1163 levels. The pair has made session high at 1.1191 and hit lows at 1.1155 levels. The dollar rose on Wednesday along with global stock markets, also getting lift from strong private-sector U.S. jobs data, while the euro fell back on a report euro zone inflation had turned negative. The gains kept the dollar on track for a net rise for July, August and September of 0.75 percent, making 2015’s third quarter the fourth out of the past five during which the rallying greenback has gone up against other major currencies. The euro fell against the dollar by 0.6 percent to $1.1180 zone prices fell by 0.1 percent on an annual basis in September after rising 0.1 percent last month. The decline missed expectations and remained well below the European Central Bank’s target of just under 2 percent. The report fed speculation the ECB will expand or extend its cheap-money asset purchases as America readies to raise interest rates. To the upside, immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1225. To the downside, immediate support level is located at 1.1150 levels.GBP/USD is supported in the range of 1.5083 levels and currently trading at 1.5120 levels. It reached session high at 1.5190 and dropped to session low at 1.5120 levels. Sterling slipped lower on Wednesday after data on Wednesday showed the U.S. private sector added more jobs than expected in September, raising hopes for a strong reading in the government’s payrolls report due Friday. The Bank of England is expected to follow the U.S. Federal Reserve when it decides to raise interest rates from their current historic lows, a move some traders expect as early as October. But with UK inflation stuck at zero and with worries about a Chinese slowdown and the impact of that on the global economy, the BoE is in no hurry. Sterling has lost almost 3 percent on a trade-weighted basis, as expectations for the first BoE rate hike since 2007 were pushed into the second half of next year, from the start of 2016 previously. Sterling slipped to $1.5105 after U.S. jobs data added fuel to its decline, from around $1.5180 leaving it down 0.2 percent on the day. It was last trading at $1.5125, slightly higher on the day. To the upside, immediate resistance can be seen at 1.5140. To the downside, immediate support level is located at 1.5083 levels.USD/JPY is supported around 119.23 levels and currently trading at 119.78 levels. It made session high at 120.15 and made session lows at 119.24 levels. . The dollar edged higher against Japanese yen on Wednesday after U.S. jobs data came in stronger than expected and the market awaited clarity on the timing of a hotly anticipated U.S. interest rate rise. U.S. private employers added 200,000 jobs in September, beating forecasts and hinting jobs growth may be sufficient for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates later this year, according to the ADP National Employment Report. The news lifted the dollar index, which measures the U.S. unit’s strength against other major currencies. The index was last up 0.45 percent for the day and has been rising since mid-2014 on America’s relatively strong economy and high interest rates. the dollar was up 0.10 percent against the yen to just under 120 yen. To the upside, immediate resistance can be seen at 120.00. To the downside, immediate support level is located at 119.60levels. USD/CAD is supported at 1.3320 levels and is trading at 1.3345 levels. It has made session high at 1.3395 and lows at 1.3339 levels. The Canadian dollar rebounded against the greenback on Wednesday, bolstered by data showing faster-than-expected economic growth in Canada, but it failed to sustain its session-high gains as overall sentiment remained weary. The economy grew 0.3 percent in July, more than the 0.2 percent economists had been forecasting, in the second straight month of expansion after a dismal first five months of the year. Statistics Canada reported on Wednesday that real gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.3 percent in July, exceeding the 0.2 percent growth forecast in a survey of economists.The loonie, which had softened to an 11-year intraday low of C$1.3457 in the previous session, was trading between C$1.3330 and C$1.3431 so far on Wednesday. Investor attention will shift toward U.S. employment data for September, due at 8:30 a.m. EDT on Friday. Economists are forecasting 203,000 new jobs. . To the upside, immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3346. To the downside, immediate support level is located at 1.3303 levels.Equities RecapEuropean shares rose on Wednesday as a bruising quarter ended, after a Chinese tax cut boosted automakers and mining company Glencore rallied when it said had no solvency issues.The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index ended up 2.5 percent, UK’s benchmark FTSE 100 closed up by 2.4 percent, Germany’s Dax ended up by 2.2 percent, France’s CAC finished the day up by 2.5 percent.U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday as investors picked up beaten-down stocks, but all three major indexes were on track for their worst quarter since 2011. Dow Jones down ended up by 1.41 percent, S&P 500 ended up 1.85 percent, Nasdaq finished the day up 2.19 percent.Treasuries RecapU.S. Treasuries prices slipped on Wednesday as Wall Street rallied on confidence in the U.S. economy after data showed U.S. private-sector employers added 200,000 jobs.10-year Treasuries were down 1/32 in price to yield 2.055 percent, up from 2.05 percent late Tuesday. The 30-year bond was down 15/32 in price to yield 2.88, versus 2.85 percent late Tuesday.Commodities RecapGold hit its lowest level in two weeks and recorded its biggest quarterly loss in a year on Wednesday as US jobs data came in stronger than expected and the market awaited clarity on the timing of a hotly anticipated US interest rates rise.Spot gold was down 1 percent at $1.115.30 an ounce at 3.05 pm. EDT (1905 GMT), while US gold futures for December delivery were down $11.60 an ounce at $1,115.20.Oil prices ended mixed in volatile trade on Wednesday, with global benchmark Brent up on worries about Russian airstrikes in Syria and U.S. crude down after data showing a surge in domestic inventories.Brent settled up 14 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $48.37 a barrel. It fell 10 percent for September.U.S. crude settled down 14 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $45.09, surrendering earlier gains. For the month, U.S. crude was down 8 percent.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com