- BOJ Policy Board Harada – No need to ease if inflation trend up.
- Japanese industrial output rebounded at 1.2% month-on-month in April, last at 1.0%.
- Japan Fin Min Aso – No comment on FX levels, must ensure economy ready for ’17 sales tax hike.
- EconMin Amari -US fast-track trade bill would be welcome.
- Lloyds Bank launches Y95 bln dual-tranche samurai via Daiwa, MUFJ, Nomura.
- Foreign CB US debt holdings +$4.085 bln to $3.360 trln June 10 week, Treasury holdings +$3.351 bln to $3.028 trln, agencies +$528 mln to $287.816 bln.
- NZ May PMI 51.5, four-month low, April rev down to 51.7, output down.
- NZ May food prices +0.4% m/m, +0.8% y/y, April +0.3%, +1.0%.
- (0300 ET/0700 GMT) Spain May CPI, +0.5% m/m, -0.2% y/y eyed; last +0.9%, -0.6%.
- (0300 ET/0700 GMT) Spain May HICP, +0.4% m/m, -0.3% y/y eyed; last +0.7%, flash -0.3%.
- (0430 ET/0830 GMT) UK April construction output, -0.5% m/m, +0.5% y/y eyed; last +3.9%, +1.6%.
- (0500 ET/0900 GMT) Euro Zone April industrial output, +0.3% m/m, +1.1% y/y eyed; last -0.3%, +1.8%.
- (0830 ET/1230 GMT) US May PPI, +0.4% m/m, -1.1% y/y eyed; last -0.4%, -1.3%.
- (0830 ET/1230 GMT) US May ex-f/e, +0.1% m/m, +0.7% y/y eyed; last -0.2%, +0.8%.
- (1000 ET/1400 GMT) US Jun UOM sentiment index prelim, 91.5 eyed; last 90.7.
Key Events Ahead
- N/A EU-Mexico summit in Brussels.
- N/A UK DMO GBP2/1.5/2 bln 1/3/6-month treasury bill auctions.
- N/A US House vote on fast-track, other trade bills.
FX Recap
EUR/USD is supported below 1.1300 levels and currently trading at 1.1262levels. It has made intraday high at 1.1266 and low at 1.1234 levels. The pair was under mild pressure until the release of US retail sales data, which showed that Retail Sales in May surged above expected, up 1.2% from an expected recovery of 1.1%, whilst the ex-autos figure came out also above expected, at 1.0% against 0.7%. At the same time, the country released its weekly unemployment claims that resulted slightly below expected for the week ending May 29, up to 279K. Today German WPI and Euro Zone industrial production data will be main focus. Initial support is seen around 1.1221 and resistance is seen around 1.1378 levels.USD/JPY is supported above 123.00 levels and posted a high of 123.62 levels. It has made intraday low at 123.37 and currently trading at 123.45 levels. The Japanese yen stalled its recovery from the 13-year low posted last Friday against the greenback, as the USD/JPY pair ended the day up around 123.50. The pair posted a short-lived spike up to 124.13 following the release of US Retail Sales, but quickly turned lower, unable to sustain gains beyond the 124.00 level. Industrial production in Japan rose more-than-expected last month, data showed on Friday. In a report, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said that industrial production rose to a seasonally adjusted 1.2%, from 1.0% in the preceding month. Near term resistance is seen at 123.66 and support is seen at 122.45 levels.GBP/USD is supported above $1.5500 levels. It made an intraday high at 1.5525 and low at 1.5504 levels. Pair is currently trading at 1.5504 levels. Today UK will release construction output data, which will provide further direction to the parity. Initial support is seen at 1.5440 and resistance is seen around 1.5535 levels.USD/CHF is supported above 0.9300 levels and trading at 0.9337 levels and made intraday low at 0.9322 and high at 0.9342 levels. Today was data free session for Switzerland; market will eye on US PPI and core PPI data release due later in a day. Near term support is seen at 0.9242 levels and resistance is seen at 0.9372 levels.AUD/USD is supported above 0.7700 levels and trading at 0.7734 levels. It has made intraday high at 0.7757 levels and low at 0.7735 levels. Pair has come under some mild selling pressure in early Tokyo. There is no major economic news scheduled for the day from Australia, market will eye on USD data release due later in a day. Initial support is seen at 0.7568 and resistance at 0.7811 levels.NZDUSD is supported around 0.7000 levels and currently trading at 0.7005. It has made intraday high at 0.7026 and low at 0.7001 levels. On Thursday, the kiwi slumped to fresh five year lows at 0.6965 after the central bank’s decision to cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3.25% was announced. The NZD/USD pair remains pressured as the RBNZ also hinted that further rate cut was on table. Moreover, broad based US dollar strength following better than expected US retail sales and in line with expectations weekly jobless claims kept the Kiwi undermined. Later today, US PPI and consumer sentiment data will provide fresh cues on the US dollar moves, having major impact on the NZD/USD pair. Initial support is seen at 0.6965 and resistance is seen around 0.7055 levels.
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