Submitted by Michael Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog,
To make things even worse, we often outright mock anyone who can’t keep up, or doesn’t fit in with the new order. We call them dumb. Idiots. Religious freaks. Rednecks. Thugs. Hoodlums. Ghetto trash. White trash.
The language we use to talk about those who have been left behind is rife with nasty attempts to turn them into lesser humans. We use the tactics of racism, and apply it to economic losers.
If you hate racism, then you really really really should hate any economic and social system that creates and rewards massive inequality. Because when you get that. You get racism.
And that is the system we have built and now have. That is the system that most everyone screaming about the dumb racists is part of, usually supports, and wins from.
– From the post: Thoughts on Brexit from Someone Who Spends Time in the “Forgotten Places”
In order to prevent people from mischaracterizing my point of view, I want to once again make something completely clear. I do not support Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, and will not be voting for either in 2016. My intent had been to once again vote for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, but recent comments to Politico about how he would support the TPP have prompted me to pull back. I don’t know if there’s anyone I can vote for in November. Nevertheless, the purpose of this article is to provide some political analysis for those interested in that sort of thing.
Trump experienced a horrible period from mid-May to mid-June, which culminated in the dismissal of campaign manager Corey Lewandowski. Based on my Twitter feed, Trump is finished. I’ve been incessantly bombarded with articles highlighting an ever widening lead for Hillary Clinton nationally in the polls. So is Trump finished? Not by a long shot.
First off, let’s discuss the macro environment. As the Brexit vote demonstrated in spades, people are not in a cheery mood and appear willing to suffer negative consequences in the short-term in order to blow up the status quo. This is hugely important and a huge part of the Trump phenomenon. I also think the arrogant, dismissive, undemocratic and paternalistic attitude of so-called “elites” in the aftermath of Brexit will not be lost on U.S. voters. For example, Felix Salmon apparently expressed the following all too common sentiment during a recent conference in California:
Yesterday at the IMN Global Indexing and ETFs Conference, Felix Salmon delivered an opening keynote that was both brilliant and ballsy. Felix explained his view that governing by referendum is insane, and that democracy done properly requires “attenuation” by a technocratic class that understands policy implications and can shepherd the will of the people into a a more feasible version of what they want.
This sort of attitude will only serve to confirm the suspicions of Donald Trump supporters and bring more into the fold. It will also further erode the rapidly disintegrating credibility of the status quo and its ever eager sycophants. As I tweeted earlier today:
Equally interesting, is how incredibly close the race between Clinton and Trump is in a wide variety of swing states, as well as states that typically lean one way or the other. The reason this is happening is we essentially have a race between a nativist populist versus a Wall Street neocon for the first time in recent memory. As such, anyone claiming they know how this will play out is full of…
To give you a sense of just how crazy the whole electoral map has gone, check out these excerpts from a recent Hill article:
Battleground state polls show Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton locked in a tight race for the White House with just more than four months to go before Election Day.
President Obama coasted to reelection in 2012 by defeating GOP nominee Mitt Romney in nine out of 10 battleground states — Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
He lost a tenth battleground, North Carolina, which he had won four years earlier.
Heading into the 2016 conventions next month, polls in those 10 states show close races across the board.
The polling suggests Clinton has an edge because she has leads in six of the 10 states, while Trump is only consistently leading in North Carolina.
Clinton’s lead, however, is just a percentage point or two in most of the states.
Clinton’s largest lead is in Wisconsin, a state Democrats haven’t lost in a presidential election since 1984. According to a CBS News-YouGov poll released Sunday, she has a 5-percentage-point lead in the Badger State.
In every other state, the candidates are either tied or within 3.5 points of one another.
Polls suggest Clinton has a strong chance of winning Arizona, for example, and the race is also surprisingly close in Georgia and Utah.
States with 163 electoral votes are seen as toss-ups on the RCP map, including the nine other traditional battlegrounds as well as Arizona, Georgia and Michigan, which has been a safe Democratic state.
Pennsylvania is the battleground giving Democrats the most heartburn.
Its 20 electoral votes have not gone to the GOP nominee in almost 30 years, yet a Public Policy Polling (PPP) survey of the state released this month found Trump and Clinton tied, while a Quinnipiac University poll showed Clinton ahead by only 1 point. Analysts at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics recently shifted Pennsylvania from “Likely Democratic” to “Leans Democratic.”
The contest in New Hampshire, which has gone for the Democratic candidate in five of the last six presidential cycles, is also a toss-up, with the latest poll showing the candidates are tied.
Even Clinton’s 5-point lead in Wisconsin is emblematic of the challenges both candidates face: Sixty-one percent of voters said they have a negative view of Clinton, against 62 percent who view Trump unfavorably.
Trump and Clinton are tied in Ohio, but Clinton holds a 3.4 point lead over Trump in Florida, according to the RCP average.
Florida, by far the biggest swing state with 29 electoral votes, was won by Obama by less than 1 point in 2012 Clinton has only a 1-point lead in Colorado, according to a CBS-YouGov poll released over the weekend. That poll found that a plurality of voters only support Clinton because they oppose Trump, and vice versa.
In Virginia, Clinton has a 42 to 39 lead over Trump, according to a recent PPP survey.
But again, there are warning signs here for the Democrat.
Trump leads big, 42 to 29, among independent voters.
And that survey found that Clinton’s lead would be larger, but that supporters of Bernie Sanders have yet to get on board with her campaign.
Indeed. If Democrats actually wanted to win, they would’ve nominated Bernie Sanders, who destroys Trump in swing states as we learned in the post: New Quinnipiac Survey – Trump and Clinton Tied in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania
The post Don’t Count Out Donald Trump Yet appeared first on crude-oil.top.