- Thailand 2015 GDP Growth Projected at 2.7-3.2% (Vs 3.0-4.0% Seen in May).
- Thailand 2015 Exports Projected -3.5% (Vs +0.2% Seen In May).
- Thailand Q2 GDP +2.8% Yr/Yr (Vs +2.8% in Poll).
- Thailand Q2 GDP +0.4% Q/Q Seasonally Adjusted (Vs +0.2% in Reuters Poll).
- PBOC sets Yuan midpoint at 6.3969 vs previous spot close of 6.3918.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari- Rise in Food Prices May Be One Factor Discouraging Consumers from Increasing Spending.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Not Thinking About Compiling Stimulus Measures Now.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Govt Is Not Trying To Engineer a Decline in the Yen.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Q2 GDP Decline Due To Weak Exports to U.S., China.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Consumer Spending Also Weak Due to Bad Weather, Tax Increase on Mini vehicles.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Corporate Earnings Still at Record High, Workers’ Incomes Still Improving.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Expect Consumer Spending to Improve Due To Wage Gains.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Also Expect Capital Expenditure to Increase Due to Improving Corporate Earnings.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Govt to Take Steps to Encourage Further Wage Gains and Increase Corporate Investment.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Want to Closely Monitor how China Responds to its Slowing Economy.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – U.S. is on Recovery Path, Not Much Reason to Be Worried.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Many One-Off Factors Contributed to Decline in Q2 GDP.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – Reasons to Expect Rebound in Consumer Spending in Q3.
- Japan Economic Minister Amari – A Lot of Room for Companies to Increase K Expenditure.
- Japan GDP- Economy Posts First Quarterly Contraction since Q3 2014.
- Japan GDP- Private Consumption Posts First quarter Decline since Q2 ’14.
- Japan GDP- Exports Fall at Fastest Pace since April-June 2011.
- Japan April-June Real GDP -0.4% Qtr/Qtr (Reuters Poll: -0.5%).
- Japan April-June Annualised GDP -1.6 Pct (Poll: -1.9%).
- Japan April-June Private Consumption -0.8% Qtr/Qtr (Poll: -0.4%).
- Japan April-June Capex -0.1% Qtr/Qtr (Poll: -0.1%).
- Japan Q2 External Demand Contribution to GDP -0.3% Pt (Poll: -0.3% Pt).
- Japan April-June Domestic Demand Contribution to GDP -0.1% Point.
- Japan April-June Housing Investment +1.9% Qtr/Qtr.
- Japan April-June GDP Deflator +1.6% Yr/Yr.
- Spore July Non-Oil Domestic Exports -0.8% Fm Year Earlier; Poll -2.1%.
- Spore July Non-Oil Domestic Exports +2.4%M/M After S/ Adj’s; Poll -0.8%.
- Bank of England’s Forbes Says Interest Rates will need to be Raised “Well Before” Inflation Hits 2% Target.
- Bank of England’s Forbes says Waiting Too Long to Raise Rates Would Risk Undermining Economic Recovery.
- BOE’s Forbes says China Currency Devaluation Means “Bit More Time before Inflationary Pressures Build in the UK”.
- BOE’s Forbes says Right Time to Raise Rates Depends on more Evidence of Inflation Heading towards Target.
- Germany’s Merkel Says Greek Government Has Been Working “Very Differently” Than in Previous Months.
- Germany’s Merkel Says We Do Not Want a “German Europe”.
- Germany’s Merkel Says Does Not Have Impression That Germany Was Isolated in its Stance towards Greece.
- Germany’s Merkel Says the IMF Took Part in Negotiations on Memorandum of Understanding, it supports the Agreement.
- Germany’s Merkel Says IMF Chief Lagarde Has Made Clear She Will Argue For IMF Participation in Greek Bailout with Board if Promises Are Met.
- Germany’s Merkel Says There is Room to Move on an Extension of Maturities, Interest Rates in Talks with Greece on Debt Relief.
- Germany’s Merkel Reiterates Opposition to “Haircut” For Greece.
- (0400 ET/0800 GMT) Norway Trade Balance.
- (0500 ET/0900 GMT) Euro zone Euro stat Trade balance.
Key Events Ahead
- No economic events are scheduled for the day.
FX Recap
EUR/USD is supported below 1.1100 levels and currently trading at 1.1090 levels. It has made intraday high at 1.1120 and low at 1.1082 levels. Pair keeps its side-trend intact in the Asian session, extending the bearish tone for the fourth straight session on Monday, as the greenback continues to surf higher on the wave of upbeat US macro data released on Friday which further reinforced September rate hike expectations. Meanwhile, Euro zone trade data will keep traders slightly busy in a rather data-light European session ahead. Initial support is seen around at 1.0789 and resistance at 1.1195 levels.USD/JPY is supported above 124.00 levels and posted a high of 124.44 levels. It has made intraday low at 124.24 and currently trading at 124.36 levels. Data out of Japan on Monday showed the economy contracted 0.4% in the June quarter, slightly better than the 0.5% contraction forecast by markets, but down sharply on first-quarter growth of 1%. The Bank of Japan is currently forecasting the economy to expand 1.7% in fiscal 2015 and 1.5% in fiscal resistance is seen at 125.68 and support is seen at 120.63 levels.GBP/USD is supported above $1.5600 levels. It made an intraday high at 1.5665 and low at 1.5638 levels. Pair is currently trading at 1.5654 levels. Pair edged higher within its near-term range early start of the week, testing resistance at 1.5675 levels. Today is data thin calendar for the UK. Market will eye on US macro economic data for the further movement. Initial support is seen at 1.5413 and resistance is seen around 1.5734 levels.NZDUSD is supported below 0.6600 levels and trading at 0.6541 levels and made intraday low at 0.6528 and high at 0.6549 levels. The New Zealand dollar experienced bearish pressure on Friday after the retail sales report, which proved to be negative. Moreover, the US dollar stayed firm, pushing the so-called kiwi close to its lowest level since 2009. Pair is a quiet start as we progress early Asia having been supported on the downside in to the close of last week’s session on 0.6520. The US dollar got a boost last week from better than expected retails sales. For this week, markets are awaiting the CPI’s and FOMC minutes to set the pace for the rest of the month. Initial support is seen at 0.6465 and resistance at 0.6789 levels.AUD/USD is supported above 0.7300 levels and trading at 0.7375 levels. It has made intraday high at 0.7382 levels and low at 0.7364 levels. Westpac chief economist Bill Evans sees the Reserve Bank of Australia keeping interest rates on hold well into next year, even as the market prices in a high chance of a cut by November. Westpac chief economist Bill Evans is one of few economists who believe the RBA is done easing for now, and sees interest rates remaining on hold well into 2016. In contrast, the market is pricing in a 50% chance of a rate cut by November, and a near 90% chance of a cut by early 2016. Initial support is seen at 0.7225 and resistance at 0.7647 levels.
Equity Recap
Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 index rose 0.61% to 20,645.16 points within the first hour of trade, while Tokyo’s broader Topix gauge rallied 0.69% to 1,676.00 points.Hong Kong’s benchmark Hang Seng index fell 0.23% to 23,935.95 points shortly after the opening bell, and mainland China’s benchmark Shanghai Composite lost 0.32% to trade at 3,952.63 points at the same time.Korea’s benchmark Kospi index fell 0.28% to 1,977.99 points this morning in Seoul.The benchmark Australian S&P/ASX 200 index traded 0.71% higher at 5,394.30 points in Sydney, as retailers and resource stocks opened with healthy gains.New Zealand’s benchmark S&P/NZX 50 index rose 0.38% to 5,718.05 points this afternoon in Wellington.Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index closes up 0.43 pct at 5,379.60 points.
Tokyo’s Nikkei average closes up 0.49 pct at 20,620.26.
Commodity Recap
Gold was steady on Monday after pulling back from a three-week high hit last week, as more upbeat U.S. economic data strengthened the dollar and the case for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates next month. Spot gold was flat at $1,114.05 an ounce by 0038 GMT. The metal has come off Thursday’s three-week peak of $1,126.31, though still managed to snap a seven-week losing run.Oil prices fell on Monday after booking a seventh straight weekly fall last week, as supply-side news continues to dominate the oil market amid a rising US dollar. WTI futures dipped 1.34% to $41.93 per barrel, while futures for Brent lost 1.18% to $48.61 per barrel.
Treasury Recap
South Korea sells 10-year treasury bonds at average yield of 2.315 pct.New Zealand government bond yields were flat.Thailand 15 bln baht, 28-day Treasury bill average accepted yield 1.40806 pct.Australian government bond futures eased, with the three-year bond contract off 2 ticks at 98.010. The 10-year contract was down half a tick to 97.1850.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com