With bookies' odds shifted by a mere GBP25k bet overnight, and decoupled from the only post-Cox death polls' "leave" bias, traders were focused on the release of new polls tonight… YouGov "Leave" +2pts; ORB "Remain" +7; and NatCen "Remain" +6.

 

The FT reported National Centre for Social Research poll has 6-point "Remain" lead (53-47).

Then The Telegraph/ORB poll was released pointing to a similar lead 7-point "Remain" lead (53-46)

 

Which is ironic as:

  • BRITAIN'S TELEGRAPH NEWSPAPER SAYS BACKS "LEAVE" VOTE IN EU REFERENDUM

As The Telegraph explains…

The referendum, this Thursday, is a chance to vote for ambition and hope. Britain faces challenges and opportunities ahead, in or out of the European Union.

 

But, we can only reach our full potential, if we take back democratic control over the direction and destiny of our country.

 

There are risks on either side. But, the risks of remaining in the EU are greater – including double-digit Eurozone unemployment, dangerous levels of Italian debt which beckon the next financial crisis, and a broken EU immigration system. We’d be better placed to weather these looming storms from outside the EU.

And then YouGov spoiled the party…

  • YOUGOV/TIMES POLL SHOWS 42 PCT OF BRITONS WOULD VOTE TO REMAIN IN EU, 44 PCT WOULD VOTE TO LEAVE

Swinging Cable around…

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