Donald Trump Shown Winning In Florida & Ohio
In major polls released Wednesday Donald Trump is shown ahead of Senator Marco Rubio (FL) and Governor John Kasich (OH) in their home states, which hold winner-take-all primaries on 15 March.
In a Quinnipiac University poll taken from 2-7 March found:
In Florida
- Trump 45%
- Rubio, 22%
- Cruz, 18%
- Kasich, 8%
In Ohio:
- Trump, 38%
- Kasich, 32%
- Cruz, 16%
- Rubio, 9%
The Key reasons Donald Trump is un-stopable in the race for the GOP nomination for President, as follows:
1. A head-to-head contest is not emerging — As Commentary magazine pointed out Wednesday, “Though polls continue to show him losing in head-to-head match-ups against both Senators Cruz and Rubio, there does not appear to be a path for either of them to get to that point.” Even if Rubio loses Florida and drops out, Kasich is poised to win Ohio, which will prompt him to stay in the race until the convention.
2. Senator Cruz has exhausted his best states — “Ted Cruz is going to have a hard time when he gets to certain states, he’s going to have a hard time,” Trump said on Tuesday night after notching projected victories in Michigan and Mississippi. According to The New York Times, Cruz, the candidate that stands the best chance of stopping Donald Trump, “faces an uphill battle in April and May” as the election map moves away from conservative red states that favor Cruz, and shift toward more moderate and blue states that favor Trump.
3. Senator Rubio unlikely to win Florida — The most reliable polling analyses from outfits like FiveThirtyEight and Real Clear Politics predict that Donald Trump, not Rubio, will win the 99-delegate, winner-take-all primary in Florida on 15 March. In fact, he leads by double-digit margins in polling averages. While Florida is Rubio’s home state, Donald Trump has long called the Sunshine State his 2nd home, and he has a number of Trump-branded properties there. That said, it is easy to see Donald Trump carrying the state, and effectively snuffing out the Rubio campaign.
4. “Parasitic” Kasich will likely win Ohio — Like Jeb Bush and other establishment candidates, the parasitic campaign of the Ohio governor has continued to suck votes away from Marco Rubio, likely costing him “up to 91 delegates” according to an analysis from FiveThirtyEight. For Rubio, “nothing has cost him so dearly to date, apart from perhaps his New Hampshire debate gaffe, as the lingering candidacy of John Kasich.” Polling indicates that Kasich is likely to win in Ohio, taking all 66 delegates, an event that will likely prompt him to stay in the race and prevent it from becoming a head-to-head contest against Donald Trump.
5. The #NeverTrump movement is not working — “Trump’s victories Tuesday,” Real Clear Politics reported, “come after party leaders and activists banded together against him, forming the so-called ‘Never Trump’ coalition. Former GOP standard-bearer Mitt Romney urged Republicans to vote against him in the upcoming primaries, and voiced robo-calls for Kasich, Cruz, and Rubio. Anti-Trump super PACs spent roughly $13-M against him, according to 1 report. And at the GOP debate in Detroit Thursday night, Rubio and Cruz sought to bring Donald Trump down. Trump saw Tuesday night as a resounding rejection of the effort.”
6. The GOP Establishment does not like Ted Cruz — As Politico reported Wednesday, “some top Republican power brokers are turning to Cruz, putting aside their policy and personal misgivings to back the candidate they now openly label as their best hope to stop Trump’s GOP takeover.” While some are warming to Cruz, “other influential Republicans intend to remain on the sidelines, with no appetite for backing either Cruz or Trump.” Establishmentarians are unlikely to coalesce around Cruz, the most likely candidate to beat Donald Trump. If they do, it will likely be too late in the race to make a difference.
7. Donald Trump has won a diverse set of states — Tuesday, Trump won Michigan in the Midwest, Mississippi in the South, and Hawaii in the mid-Pacific. The impressive showing was a good example of Trump’s ability to win states regardless of region. To date, he’s won states from New Hampshire to Nevada to Alabama.
8. Donald Trump wins over many voter groups, including independents — “Two different races took shape in the Michigan and Mississippi Republican primaries,” ABC News reported. “In Mississippi, nearly all voters were evangelicals and mainline Republicans, with a high number of strong conservatives. In Michigan, by contrast, far fewer were in either of those groups, and there are notably more political independents voting.”
Trumpeting for Trump
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