Dollar falling
The USDJPY has broken below the 200 bar moving average on the 4-hour chart (green line in the chart below), and also below the swing lows that defined the lower floor for the USDJPY since  November 6th.  The  100 and 200 day moving averages (overlaid on the chart below) come in at 121.69 at 121.569, respectively. We trade between the broken levels above and the target levels below, but you have to give the advantage to the the sellers