Japan will release key April economic data on 29 April, including core inflation, industrial production (IP), and job data.Core inflation is expected to have dropped to 0.0% y/y in April from 2.2% in March as the base effect due to the April 2014 sales tax hike has started to wane. A 2% inflation target remains a distant goal for the Bank of Japan, and it is believed that the bank needs to ease still further in H2-2015. IP likely rebounded by 1.0% m/m in April after declining for two straight months. Q1 GDP showed better-than-expected investment readings, which may imply a gradual pickup in business activity. “We expect the unemployment rate to have stabilised at 3.5% in April, with the job-to-applicant ratio rising to 1.16 from 1.15 prior”, says Standard Chartered.
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