The Philippines will release Q1-2015 GDP numbers on 28 May. GDP growth is expected to have stayed at a healthy 6.3% y/y in Q1, versus 6.9% in Q4. Growth was likely supported by a strong pick-up in the construction sector and steady growth in the services sector. Construction is expected to have posted double-digit growth for a third consecutive quarter in Q1. Services growth was likely aided by rising demand for business services and financial services, although growth in wholesale/retail trade services may have eased in Q1. Manufacturing growth likely slowed.“We note that average monthly industrial production growth (already released) in Q1 was 0.1% y/y, down from 6.1% in Q4-2014. We continue to expect the strong domestic economy to support GDP growth, despite some headwinds to external demand”,says Standard Chartered.
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