US Economy Is Now Estimated To Grow An Anemic 1.9% In Q-4

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ

The US economy is on track to grow 1.9% inn Q-4 with expected weaker consumer spending and equipment-investment growth following a private report on US manufacturing in October, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Monday.

This was slower than the regional Fed’s prior estimate of 2.5% rate Friday, the Atlanta Fed said on its website.

The model downgraded its outlook on Q-4 real consumer spending growth to 2.4% from 2.9% and on real equipment investment growth to 1.3% from 3.9%.

The Institute for Supply Management(ISM) said Monday its national manufacturing index slipped to 50.1 in October, the lowest mark since May 2013, from a reading of 50.2 in September.

The index is barely above the 50 threshold, the dividing line between expansion and contraction.

The US major market indexes finished Monday at: DJIA +165.22 at 17828.76, NAS 100 +73.40 at 5127.15, S&P 500 +24.69 at 2104.05

Volume: trade was about average with about 845-M/shares trading on the NYSE;

  • NAS 100 +8.3% YTD
  • S&P 500 +2.2% YTD
  • DJIA 0.0% YTD
  • Russell 2000 -1.5% YTD
HeffX-LTN Analysis for DIA: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Neutral (0.16) Neutral (0.23) Neutral (0.15) Neutral (0.10)
HeffX-LTN Analysis for SPY: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Neutral (0.11) Neutral (0.23) Neutral (0.17) Neutral (-0.06)
HeffX-LTN Analysis for QQQ: Overall Short Intermediate Long
Neutral (0.18) Bullish (0.27) Bullish (0.25) Neutral (0.01)

Stay tuned…

HeffX-LTN

Paul Ebeling

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