The June flash Services PMI printed 51.3, flat to May but below 52.0 bounce expectations with both employment down (3rd monthly drop in a row to lowest since Dec 2014) and optimism tumbling – "service providers indicated another drop in confidence regarding the year-ahead business outlook, with the latest reading the weakest since the survey began in late-2009."

 

 

Commenting on the flash PMI data, Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit said:

The survey data indicate that any rebound in the economy from the weak first quarter was largely confined to April, and that growth has since faded again. The June PMIs, which provide the first insight into national business activity in the second quarter, suggest the underlying rate of growth in the economy is only a meagre 1%.

“Growth continues to be reliant on the service sector, with manufacturing acting as a drag on the economy. However, even the service sector has seen growth weaken in recent months, with firms citing increased uncertainty over the economic and political outlook both at home and abroad.

“Business optimism was the lowest seen since the height of the financial crisis, with firms seeing greater hesitation in spending on services by business and households.

“Uncertainty looks set to intensify in coming months and the UK’s shock vote to exit the EU exacerbates domestic worries about the presidential election.

“Signs of weak economic growth and a sluggish labour market, combined with ‘Brexit’ uncertainty, suggest that already-cautious policymakers will be in no rush to tighten policy.”

So "one-and-done"?

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