Strategy – Wait until BTC             is above the 30 and 50 week Simple Moving Averages before making any long term buys. You won’t catch the bottom, but you take on less risk. You wont be stuck holding if Bitcoin             capitulates. You aren’t waiting for demand to catch up to the price. You are protected from Black Swans whilst bitcoin             builds/finds the bottom.

$6800 is a key level. The 30 Week MA is very close. Perhaps a break out of 6800 and 30 Week MA then a sell off from the 50 Week MA could happen. If so, look outside and see if the rain has stopped and maybe buy the pullback. Otherwise make some hot Cocoa             and wait until BTC             is above 50 week MA.

Fib 0.786 on the chart which is a retracement of the entire bull run. Potential capitulation target.

This is not financial advice. It’s a picture with squiggly lines and clipart.