USDTRY – Be wary of Intervention ex-post Rapid Moves


Traders layering into TRY potentially got burnt last week as the Turkish Central Bank intervened to halt the local currency’s worrying devaluation by raising interest rates by a whopping 3%

Whilst i tend to let the majority of fundamental data pass me by , it often pays to atleast maintain a health awareness of key macro factors that might have a direct impact on any currency pairs you are trading or tracking (this is different to following any random commentator’s subjective opinion)

While I do not like setting upside targets , it can pay to trail stops at healthy profit levels during large abnormal moves so as not to give back profits (we saw this in crypto in Dec 17) adn if we miss the big move initially wait for natural pullbacks / consolidations rather than chase an entry. There will ALWAYS be a pullback or another instruments that will offer the next big move. Worst thing to do is chase an entry through FOMO , get burnt and then be paralysed the next time a big opportunity presents itself.

Stay rational, stay calm and nimble

By admin